Lumber prices have been increasing for months, prompting builders to raise their prices and, in some cases, to stop taking new orders due to the difficulty of pricing projects accurately during the course of construction.
But wood prices are coming down—and they’re falling fast. For example, futures for July delivery of lumber were $1,009.90 per thousand board feet, a 41% drop from the record of $1,711.20 reached in early May, The Wall Street Journal reports.
“The rapid decline suggests a bubble that has burst and the question is how low lumber prices will fall,” The Wall Street Journal reports. “Even after tumbling, lumber futures remain nearly three times what is typical for this time of year. Lumber producers and traders expect that prices will remain relatively high due to the strong housing market, but that the supply bottlenecks and frenzied buying that characterized the economy’s reopening and sent prices to multiples of the old all-time highs are winding down.”
During the run-up in lumber prices, some builders began hoarding lumber to shield themselves from any future gains and to ensure they didn’t run out of it during construction. Housing analysts predict the new-home market will see greater “shadow inventory” as businesses begin to sell their own stockpiles.
“I don’t think $1,000 lumber prices are the new normal,” Devin Stockfish, chief executive of Weyerhaeuser Co., a lumber producer, told investors last week at a conference. “But that being said, when you think about the amount of housing that we’re going to have to build in the U.S. over the next three, five, 10 years, that’s just a significant amount of demand for wood products.”
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We have also seen an uptake in people planning ahead, and buying that second home now, rather than waitiang as they were planning to do; especially with Snowmads and Zoombirds. Previously we had Snowbirds; interesting how terminology keeps changing.
Lower interest rates are probably helping with the increased sales; oftentimes over asking price. Low inventory is the greatest chalenge for buyers; but if prepared you are ahead of the game; ask how we can help. We recently got an amazing deal for a buyer on a Waterfront Condo with Boat Dock; and we are working on others; so there are deals out there; if you work with us, we will find them.
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